Friday 24 August 2012

{Kantakji Group}. Add '11201' Seasonality and the Saudi stock market


FYI

 Nawaf Y. Husein

 Faculty Member
 Msc, CRP , CLBB
 Saudi Training Society Member


 Institute of Banking
 Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency ( SAMA)
  P.O.Box : 10820   Riyadh 11443 Saudi Arabia
 Tel : + 966 1 463 3000   Ext. 3825
  Fax: + 966 1 466 2368
  Mobile : + 966 55 48 44 828

  SKYPE : abuhejleh2      



 

Dear all,

 

All economies have seasonal trends, but for Saudi Arabia these trends are more pronounced than for most other global economies. In the attached report, we examine quarterly earnings for each of the 15 sectors of the market as well as quarterly real GDO growth rate to determine seasonal trends. Within corporate results, the fourth quarter tends to be the weakest as companies choose to clean up their balance sheets in order to start the new year on a sounder footing while the second quarter is generally the peak time for private sector activity owing to a push from companies to conclude deals and projects ahead of the summer slowdown. The report also highlights some puzzling seasonal trends in the recently released quarterly real GDP growth particularly in the oil and manufacturing sectors, though it appears that this early data is subject to further revisions.

 

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